North Korea's Lazarus Group laundered $290 million in crypto. Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April now at 36.5% YES, down from ...

Trump extended the Iran ceasefire, leading to a drop in odds for ending military operations by April 30 to 21.5% YES.

US Treasury imposes new sanctions on Iran weapon suppliers. Trump agreeing to Iranian oil sanction relief in April at 27% YES ...

US Vice President Vance cancels Pakistan trip amid US-Iran peace uncertainty. Permanent peace deal by April 30 at 21.5% YES.

The US trade representative told Mexican companies that Trump tariffs are permanent, a development likely to affect the ...

Michael Saylor announced Strategy's $3.6 billion Bitcoin gain, with Bitcoin above $66,000 on April 21 at 99.9% YES.

U.S. military operations against Iran continue, causing ceasefire odds to drop to 21.5% YES for an end by April 30.

IRGC has sidelined Iran's president and taken control of state functions. Iranian regime fall by June 30 rises to 8.5% YES.

An Iranian diplomat reports Tehran has received signs the US is ready to end the blockade, per BBC. The ceasefire by April 30 ...

UAE becomes the sixth-largest sovereign Bitcoin holder with a $900M investment. Bitcoin reaching $80K in April 2026 at 34.5% ...

The market is skeptical, given the long list of Iranian demands: lifting the naval blockade, returning a seized ship, and ...

US recalled its ambassador to Israel amid Iran tensions. No US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026 at 3.6% YES.